Vladimir Lopata vs Vit Herrmann 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13048196

Played Aug 30Finished

Vladimir Lopata

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1181113811211––

Vit Herrmann

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingVladimir Lopata above · Vit Herrmann below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 2-11

Point 75 set 4, 2-11

75 points played in total.

H2H Vladimir Lopata 2–1 Vit Herrmann Vit Herrmann has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 2–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lopata)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Herrmann form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLopata 1.61 / Herrmann 2.20

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Lopata)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13048196

Lopata1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite52% won 25 of 48

Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26

Herrmann2.20

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As underdog49% won 58 of 118

Down 0–1, comes back32% 18 of 56

Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeLopata2wins

AwayHerrmann1wins

1 of 3 to a deciderLopata leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lopata2Herrmann1n = 3Lopata took 2 of 3

S2Lopata3Herrmann0n = 3Lopata took 3 of 3

S3Lopata0Herrmann3n = 3Herrmann took 3 of 3

S4Lopata1Herrmann2n = 3Herrmann took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home133%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away133%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricLopataHerrmannL − HBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.736.0+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLopataHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 266 vs 209 / 43751.9%47.8%138 / 266 vs 209 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lopata

Lopata 1.61/Herrmann 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.7%

Lopata · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Herrmann won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

LAug 30 · 13:45V. Lopata—7111171V. Herrmann—11813113

WOct 27 · 18:05V. Lopata—111137113V. Herrmann—27111192

WOct 27 · 16:00V. Lopata—11117113V. Herrmann—331181

V. Lopata10

WSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851 WSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741 LSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142 LSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171 WAug 30 · 15:45V. Lopata1.571111143T. Bertho2.2554120 LAug 30 · 14:15S. Kalensky1.8381111123V. Lopata1.831199101 LAug 30 · 13:45V. Herrmann2.5011813113V. Lopata1.507111171 WAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141 WAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103 LAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262

V. Herrmann10

WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113 WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691 LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113 WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931 WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103 WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103 LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113 WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171 LAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113 WAug 30 · 13:45V. Herrmann2.5011813113V. Lopata1.507111171

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