TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055180
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Maly
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181166111214118
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 54.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 1–0 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maly 1517 vs Hajek 1662
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 40% vs Hajek 80%
Hajek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 40% vs Hajek 60%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly +1 · Hajek +4
Hajek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Hajek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 2.38 / Hajek 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055180
Maly2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog59% won 42 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back42% 15 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Hajek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaly1wins
AwayHajek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMaly leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalyHajekM − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.047.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 443 vs 363 / 67054%54.2%239 / 443 vs 363 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekMaly 2.38/Hajek 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 18:15P. Maly—1111612113M. Hajek—86111482
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.