TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067180
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111311611311––
Jan Simecek Jnr
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Jan Simecek Jnr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 72 set 4, 3-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 6–5 Jan Simecek Jnr Jan Simecek Jnr has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.91 / Jnr 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jnr)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067180
Maly1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog58% won 42 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back38% 14 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back20% 4 of 20
Jnr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 64 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaly5wins
AwayJnr5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly50%3 of 6
AwayJnr50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly6Jnr4n = 10Maly took 6 of 10
S2Maly3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S3Maly7Jnr3n = 10Maly took 7 of 10
S4Maly3Jnr5n = 8Jnr took 5 of 8
S5Maly2Jnr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalyJnrM − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.8+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 447 vs 223 / 43153.5%51.7%239 / 447 vs 223 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrMaly 1.91/Jnr 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 17:30P. Maly—741391J. Jnr—111111113
LAug 14 · 17:30P. Maly—9560J. Jnr—1111113
WJul 30 · 20:58P. Maly—11111110163J. Jnr—213312142
WJul 30 · 18:00P. Maly—41111113J. Jnr—114771
LJul 25 · 09:30P. Maly—11931292J. Jnr—6111110113
WJul 8 · 19:00P. Maly—116149113J. Jnr—911121182
WOct 27 · 21:33P. Maly—91111113J. Jnr—118851
LOct 27 · 20:45P. Maly—116851J. Jnr—81111113
WSep 11 · 20:26P. Maly—1111113J. Jnr—3490
LSep 11 · 17:30P. Maly—116111072J. Jnr—811712113
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:15P. Maly2.381111612113M. Hajek1.5386111482
J. Jnr10
LSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123LSep 2 · 18:30J. Jnr2.63109111152M. Hajek1.44121199113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LAug 25 · 20:20P. Orlowski1.5311118113J. Jnr2.38671191WAug 25 · 19:15J. Jnr1.837101111133P. Orlowski1.83111259112WAug 25 · 18:15J. Jnr1.83411114113T. Hanke1.8311931172WAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 20 · 20:23P. Orlowski1.9111138792J. Jnr1.809111111113LAug 20 · 19:15J. Jnr1.7391111582P. Orlowski2.00117911113WAug 20 · 18:15J. Jnr2.10591111113D. Brichacek1.6711118572
Upcoming Matches
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J. Jnr
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