TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061339
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Simecek Jnr
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012911119119511
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek Jnr above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 98 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 65.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek Jnr 3–6 Miroslav Hajek Jan Simecek Jnr has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Hajek
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1630 vs Hajek 1661
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 80% vs Hajek 60%
Jnr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 80% vs Hajek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Hajek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.63 / Hajek 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hajek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061339
Jnr2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 38 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back24% 9 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Hajek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJnr3wins
AwayHajek6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHajek leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHajek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr2Hajek7n = 9Hajek took 7 of 9
S2Jnr4Hajek5n = 9Hajek took 5 of 9
S3Jnr5Hajek4n = 9Jnr took 5 of 9
S4Jnr2Hajek5n = 7Hajek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricJnrHajekJ − HBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match34.839.0−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 429 vs 365 / 67352%54.2%223 / 429 vs 365 / 673Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekJnr 2.63/Hajek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 17 · 17:15J. Jnr—11117123M. Hajek—8911101
LAug 1 · 14:30J. Jnr—711681M. Hajek—11611103
LMay 17 · 12:55J. Jnr—8680M. Hajek—1111113
WMay 17 · 11:45J. Jnr—1151113113M. Hajek—71161562
LJun 4 · 20:50J. Jnr—9670M. Hajek—1111113
LJun 4 · 17:15J. Jnr—881371M. Hajek—111111113
LMay 27 · 19:15J. Jnr—831171M. Hajek—11118113
LMay 14 · 21:00J. Jnr—51111832M. Hajek—117911113
WMay 14 · 20:00J. Jnr—91111113M. Hajek—118651
J. Jnr10
WSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LAug 25 · 20:20P. Orlowski1.5311118113J. Jnr2.38671191WAug 25 · 19:15J. Jnr1.837101111133P. Orlowski1.83111259112WAug 25 · 18:15J. Jnr1.83411114113T. Hanke1.8311931172WAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 20 · 20:23P. Orlowski1.9111138792J. Jnr1.809111111113LAug 20 · 19:15J. Jnr1.7391111582P. Orlowski2.00117911113WAug 20 · 18:15J. Jnr2.10591111113D. Brichacek1.6711118572
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113
Upcoming Matches
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