TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467289
Played Aug 20Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191311811711911
Jan Simecek Jnr
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Jan Simecek Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11
101 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 19–23 Jan Simecek Jnr Petr Orlowski has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.91 / Jnr 1.80
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Orlowski)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467289
Orlowski1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 42 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back32% 12 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Jnr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 66 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 47 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski6wins
AwayJnr4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderOrlowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowski50%3 of 6
AwayJnr25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski6Jnr4n = 10Orlowski took 6 of 10
S2Orlowski7Jnr3n = 10Orlowski took 7 of 10
S3Orlowski3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S4Orlowski4Jnr5n = 9Jnr took 5 of 9
S5Orlowski3Jnr2n = 5Orlowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiJnrO − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.543.0+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 311 vs 218 / 42352.1%51.5%162 / 311 vs 218 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.91/Jnr 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 19:15P. Orlowski—117911113J. Jnr—91111582
WAug 17 · 19:15P. Orlowski—81111113J. Jnr—118791
LAug 13 · 20:18P. Orlowski—21116992J. Jnr—1991111113
WAug 13 · 19:15P. Orlowski—111188113J. Jnr—49111182
LJul 20 · 17:45P. Orlowski—86150J. Jnr—1111173
WJul 16 · 20:13P. Orlowski—201111113J. Jnr—225991
LJul 16 · 19:13P. Orlowski—1377101J. Jnr—111111123
LJul 14 · 20:00P. Orlowski—111141092J. Jnr—661112113
WJul 8 · 20:59P. Orlowski—111197113J. Jnr—45111182
WJul 8 · 20:00P. Orlowski—41111113J. Jnr—115891
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951
J. Jnr10
WSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123LSep 2 · 18:30J. Jnr2.63109111152M. Hajek1.44121199113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LAug 25 · 20:20P. Orlowski1.5311118113J. Jnr2.38671191WAug 25 · 19:15J. Jnr1.837101111133P. Orlowski1.83111259112WAug 25 · 18:15J. Jnr1.83411114113T. Hanke1.8311931172WAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181LAug 20 · 19:15J. Jnr1.7391111582P. Orlowski2.00117911113WAug 20 · 18:15J. Jnr2.10591111113D. Brichacek1.6711118572
Upcoming Matches
P. Orlowski
J. Jnr
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.