TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015015
Played Aug 25Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117811119––
Jan Simecek Jnr
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Jan Simecek Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 19–25 Jan Simecek Jnr Petr Orlowski has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.53 / Jnr 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Orlowski)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015015
Orlowski1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 49 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 37 of 52
Jnr2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 41 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski4wins
AwayJnr6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowski28.6%2 of 7
AwayJnr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski7Jnr3n = 10Orlowski took 7 of 10
S2Orlowski7Jnr3n = 10Orlowski took 7 of 10
S3Orlowski2Jnr8n = 10Jnr took 8 of 10
S4Orlowski3Jnr6n = 9Jnr took 6 of 9
S5Orlowski2Jnr4n = 6Jnr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiJnrO − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.546.3−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 323 vs 222 / 42752%52%168 / 323 vs 222 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.53/Jnr 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 19:15P. Orlowski—111259112J. Jnr—7101111133
LAug 20 · 20:23P. Orlowski—11138792J. Jnr—9111111113
WAug 20 · 19:15P. Orlowski—117911113J. Jnr—91111582
WAug 17 · 19:15P. Orlowski—81111113J. Jnr—118791
LAug 13 · 20:18P. Orlowski—21116992J. Jnr—1991111113
WAug 13 · 19:15P. Orlowski—111188113J. Jnr—49111182
LJul 20 · 17:45P. Orlowski—86150J. Jnr—1111173
WJul 16 · 20:13P. Orlowski—201111113J. Jnr—225991
LJul 16 · 19:13P. Orlowski—1377101J. Jnr—111111123
LJul 14 · 20:00P. Orlowski—111141092J. Jnr—661112113
P. Orlowski10
WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891WSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371WSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141LSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113WSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski2.1011116113D. Brichacek1.67871161WAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:45P. Orlowski1.44121211113V. Herrmann2.631014951
J. Jnr10
WSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123LSep 2 · 18:30J. Jnr2.63109111152M. Hajek1.44121199113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391WAug 25 · 19:15J. Jnr1.837101111133P. Orlowski1.83111259112WAug 25 · 18:15J. Jnr1.83411114113T. Hanke1.8311931172WAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181WAug 20 · 20:23P. Orlowski1.9111138792J. Jnr1.809111111113LAug 20 · 19:15J. Jnr1.7391111582P. Orlowski2.00117911113WAug 20 · 18:15J. Jnr2.10591111113D. Brichacek1.6711118572
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