TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049560
Played Aug 30Finished
Leon Kolman
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811117118––
Ludek Stoces
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Ludek Stoces below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8
72 points played in total.
H2H Leon Kolman 6–4 Ludek Stoces Ludek Stoces has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoces form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 1.57 / Stoces 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kolman)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049560
Kolman1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 105 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it69% 79 of 115
Stoces2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolman6wins
AwayStoces4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolman leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolman71.4%5 of 7
AwayStoces66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman7Stoces3n = 10Kolman took 7 of 10
S2Kolman6Stoces4n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S3Kolman4Stoces6n = 10Stoces took 6 of 10
S4Kolman5Stoces3n = 8Kolman took 5 of 8
S5Kolman2Stoces3n = 5Stoces took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolmanStocesK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.2+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanStocesBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 670 vs 86 / 19852.8%43.4%354 / 670 vs 86 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanKolman 1.57/Stoces 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 19:00L. Kolman—57111192L. Stoces—111176113
WJun 28 · 13:45L. Kolman—11118113L. Stoces—881171
WJun 13 · 17:30L. Kolman—119116113L. Stoces—61141182
LMar 15 · 12:00L. Kolman—11660L. Stoces—1311113
LFeb 28 · 12:00L. Kolman—111110532L. Stoces—691211113
LDec 28 · 13:35L. Kolman—111110472L. Stoces—671211113
WDec 28 · 11:30L. Kolman—11118113L. Stoces—991171
WNov 17 · 10:15L. Kolman—1117123L. Stoces—615100
WNov 5 · 21:26L. Kolman—1111311113L. Stoces—41311782
WNov 5 · 20:15L. Kolman—91111113L. Stoces—116951
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
L. Stoces10
WSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113LSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122WSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LAug 30 · 19:30D. Brichacek1.671211113L. Stoces2.1010940WAug 30 · 19:00L. Stoces2.38111176113L. Kolman1.5357111192WAug 30 · 18:00L. Stoces2.2011211113M. Hajek1.611110781WAug 29 · 16:15L. Stoces1.5711118113P. Maly2.25881141LAug 29 · 15:15P. Maly1.731211911123L. Stoces2.001013114102WAug 29 · 14:45L. Stoces1.911161210113V. Lopata1.80711101262
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