TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472366
Played Aug 22Finished
Mikhail Taranko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11611131189111416
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 74.8% is still 74.8%
Graded at full timeMikhail Taranko to win
74.8%
74.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 14-16
Point 110 set 5, 14-16 — our read held Mikhail Taranko at 74.8%
110 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 8–2 Jakub Nemecek Snr Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Taranko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Taranko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1503 vs Snr 1511
Snr
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 20% vs Snr 80%
Snr
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 40% vs Snr 80%
Snr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko -4 · Snr +1
Taranko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Taranko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 1.36 / Snr 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Taranko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472366
Taranko1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 16 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Snr3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog70% won 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaranko8wins
AwaySnr2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTaranko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaranko85.7%6 of 7
AwaySnr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko7Snr3n = 10Taranko took 7 of 10
S2Taranko6Snr4n = 10Taranko took 6 of 10
S3Taranko7Snr3n = 10Taranko took 7 of 10
S4Taranko6Snr2n = 8Taranko took 6 of 8
S5Taranko2Snr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTarankoSnrT − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.735.9+7.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 155 vs 84 / 19747.7%42.6%74 / 155 vs 84 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TarankoTaranko 1.36/Snr 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.8%
Taranko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 08:39M. Taranko—11711113J. Snr—511991
LAug 22 · 07:15M. Taranko—1111119142J. Snr—613811163
WSep 13 · 06:45M. Taranko—1111113J. Snr—7990
WSep 6 · 08:43M. Taranko—11119113J. Snr—751181
WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko—14911143J. Snr—12117121
WAug 30 · 06:00M. Taranko—131111113J. Snr—155561
LJul 19 · 06:45M. Taranko—611811102J. Snr—119113123
WJun 15 · 06:45M. Taranko—1111113J. Snr—7590
WJun 8 · 05:30M. Taranko—124117113J. Snr—101121162
WMay 11 · 07:30M. Taranko—711811113J. Snr—11611522
M. Taranko10
LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 29 · 05:15M. Taranko2.101191211123T. Bertho1.67911146102WAug 22 · 08:39J. Snr2.63511991M. Taranko1.4411711113LAug 22 · 06:15M. Taranko1.671313271S. Kalensky2.10151111113
J. Snr10
LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632WAug 26 · 21:08V. Herrmann1.6110440J. Snr2.201211113LAug 22 · 08:39J. Snr2.63511991M. Taranko1.4411711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.