TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472458
Played Aug 21Finished
Stepan Kalensky
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711511611––
Premysl Rucky
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingStepan Kalensky above · Premysl Rucky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kalensky 0–2 Premysl Rucky Stepan Kalensky has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Rucky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalensky form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalensky 2.50 / Rucky 1.50
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Rucky)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472458
Kalensky2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 39 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Rucky1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite43% won 9 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKalensky0wins
AwayRucky2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderRucky leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKalenskyRuckyK − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.046.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalenskyRuckyBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 517 vs 26 / 5553.8%47.3%278 / 517 vs 26 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuckyKalensky 2.50/Rucky 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Rucky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rucky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 21 · 18:30S. Kalensky—1298101P. Rucky—101111123
LAug 13 · 19:30S. Kalensky—11119952P. Rucky—871111113
S. Kalensky10
WSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143LSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293LSep 5 · 08:59J. Juppa1.9171118113S. Kalensky1.801191671LSep 5 · 08:00S. Kalensky1.91741181J. Juppa1.8011117113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Cizek2.108550S. Kalensky1.671111113
P. Rucky10
LSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 19:30P. Rucky2.1083111152P. Orlowski1.67111153113LSep 4 · 18:30P. Rucky2.00611781D. Brichacek1.7311811113WSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WAug 25 · 20:48P. Rucky1.7351114113T. Hanke2.001151281LAug 25 · 19:45T. Hanke2.25117511113P. Rucky1.5731111852LAug 25 · 18:45P. Orlowski2.101111113P. Rucky1.677590LAug 25 · 17:15J. Jnr1.5320127113P. Rucky2.3818101181LAug 21 · 19:30P. Rucky1.83961181A. Pavlik1.8311119113WAug 21 · 18:30P. Rucky1.61101111123S. Kalensky2.201298101
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