TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13065935
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Provaznik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411611––––
Petr Semrad
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLukas Provaznik above · Petr Semrad below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Provaznik 23–24 Petr Semrad Lukas Provaznik has won 23 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Semrad)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 2.00 / Semrad 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Semrad)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13065935
Provaznik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 63 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back29% 22 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Semrad1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it67% 57 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik5wins
AwaySemrad5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik66.7%4 of 6
AwaySemrad75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik6Semrad4n = 10Provaznik took 6 of 10
S2Provaznik5Semrad5n = 10split evenly
S3Provaznik4Semrad6n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10
S4Provaznik2Semrad7n = 9Semrad took 7 of 9
S5Provaznik5Semrad3n = 8Provaznik took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikSemradP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.546.5−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikSemradBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 329 vs 271 / 53647.7%50.6%157 / 329 vs 271 / 536Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradProvaznik 2.00/Semrad 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Semrad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:15L. Provaznik—1111711113P. Semrad—99111392
LJul 31 · 14:15L. Provaznik—12115552P. Semrad—1071111113
LJul 16 · 16:48L. Provaznik—71113682P. Semrad—1191111113
WJul 16 · 13:45L. Provaznik—116119113P. Semrad—61191192
WJul 13 · 15:30L. Provaznik—12111013113P. Semrad—104121592
WJul 10 · 15:15L. Provaznik—119117113P. Semrad—21141192
LJul 3 · 12:14L. Provaznik—1191461P. Semrad—71116113
WJul 3 · 09:45L. Provaznik—961111113P. Semrad—11118592
LJul 1 · 16:49L. Provaznik—3570P. Semrad—1111113
LJul 1 · 14:15L. Provaznik—81461332P. Semrad—11121111113
L. Provaznik10
WSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113LAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113WAug 31 · 14:00L. Provaznik1.57121158113L. Kolman2.25102111162WAug 12 · 16:43L. Provaznik2.38911113113M. Hajek1.5311781162LAug 12 · 15:45M. Hajek1.5341111113L. Provaznik2.38117751WAug 12 · 14:45O. Horak2.00114111082L. Provaznik1.73611812113
P. Semrad10
LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
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