TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13053898
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Skyba
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13151141311117––
Lukas Provaznik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Skyba above · Lukas Provaznik below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 85 set 4, 11-7
85 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skyba 12–6 Lukas Provaznik Lukas Provaznik has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Provaznik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkyba 1.61 / Provaznik 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skyba)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13053898
Skyba1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 21 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Provaznik2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 62 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkyba5wins
AwayProvaznik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkyba60%3 of 5
AwayProvaznik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skyba5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S2Skyba5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S3Skyba3Provaznik7n = 10Provaznik took 7 of 10
S4Skyba5Provaznik4n = 9Skyba took 5 of 9
S5Skyba2Provaznik1n = 3Skyba took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkybaProvaznikS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.9−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkybaProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 135 vs 156 / 32556.3%48%76 / 135 vs 156 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaSkyba 1.61/Provaznik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 15:00M. Skyba—11139113L. Provaznik—7111161
WJul 25 · 07:15M. Skyba—611812113L. Provaznik—117111082
LJun 29 · 14:00M. Skyba—115571L. Provaznik—51111113
LJun 25 · 14:00M. Skyba—8370L. Provaznik—1111113
WMay 22 · 13:45M. Skyba—111198143L. Provaznik—481111122
WMar 30 · 20:24M. Skyba—61111113L. Provaznik—118791
LMar 30 · 17:45M. Skyba—91171192L. Provaznik—112119113
WFeb 19 · 17:00M. Skyba—14711113L. Provaznik—1211681
LAug 31 · 16:20M. Skyba—118971L. Provaznik—41111113
LAug 31 · 13:15M. Skyba—781131L. Provaznik—11114113
M. Skyba10
WAug 31 · 16:00L. Kolman1.8371114992M. Skyba1.831191211113WAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113LAug 31 · 13:30Z. Vasatko2.3811125113M. Skyba1.535101181LAug 29 · 08:58M. Skyba1.44114111082D. Brichacek2.63811712113WAug 29 · 08:00M. Skyba1.401111113R. Merkl2.759580WAug 29 · 06:30D. Brichacek2.2055100M. Skyba1.611111123WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 17 · 12:45L. Kolman1.83816911113M. Skyba1.83111411572WAug 17 · 11:15T. Hybl1.835540M. Skyba1.831111113LAug 17 · 10:45M. Skyba1.8067111172L. Kolman1.91111159113
L. Provaznik10
LSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113WSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113WAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113WAug 31 · 14:00L. Provaznik1.57121158113L. Kolman2.25102111162WAug 12 · 16:43L. Provaznik2.38911113113M. Hajek1.5311781162LAug 12 · 15:45M. Hajek1.5341111113L. Provaznik2.38117751WAug 12 · 14:45O. Horak2.00114111082L. Provaznik1.73611812113
Upcoming Matches
M. Skyba
L. Provaznik
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