TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13040759
Played Aug 29Finished
Martin Skyba
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1184111171012811
David Brichacek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Skyba above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skyba 2–1 David Brichacek David Brichacek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Skyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkyba 1.44 / Brichacek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Skyba)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13040759
Skyba1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Brichacek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 44 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back35% 21 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkyba2wins
AwayBrichacek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSkyba leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skyba2Brichacek1n = 3Skyba took 2 of 3
S2Skyba2Brichacek1n = 3Skyba took 2 of 3
S3Skyba2Brichacek1n = 3Skyba took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkybaBrichacekS − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.732.7+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkybaBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 131 vs 152 / 29556.5%51.5%74 / 131 vs 152 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaSkyba 1.44/Brichacek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 29 · 06:30M. Skyba—1111123D. Brichacek—55100
LJul 25 · 05:45M. Skyba—86111192D. Brichacek—111167113
WJul 7 · 07:00M. Skyba—11117113D. Brichacek—781161
M. Skyba10
WAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 16:00L. Kolman1.8371114992M. Skyba1.831191211113WAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113LAug 31 · 13:30Z. Vasatko2.3811125113M. Skyba1.535101181WAug 29 · 08:00M. Skyba1.401111113R. Merkl2.759580WAug 29 · 06:30D. Brichacek2.2055100M. Skyba1.611111123WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 17 · 12:45L. Kolman1.83816911113M. Skyba1.83111411572WAug 17 · 11:15T. Hybl1.835540M. Skyba1.831111113LAug 17 · 10:45M. Skyba1.8067111172L. Kolman1.91111159113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592LAug 29 · 06:30D. Brichacek2.2055100M. Skyba1.611111123
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