TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037725
Played Aug 29Finished
David Brichacek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5115111012––––
Martin Skyba
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Skyba to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Martin Skyba below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Martin Skyba at 60.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 2–2 Martin Skyba Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brichacek 1622 vs Skyba 1676
Skyba
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brichacek 80% vs Skyba 60%
Brichacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brichacek 70% vs Skyba 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brichacek -1 · Skyba +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skyba) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 2.20 / Skyba 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Skyba)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037725
Brichacek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 47 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back36% 23 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Skyba1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 21 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBrichacek2wins
AwaySkyba2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkyba66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek1Skyba3n = 4Skyba took 3 of 4
S2Brichacek2Skyba2n = 4split evenly
S3Brichacek1Skyba3n = 4Skyba took 3 of 4
S4Brichacek1Skyba2n = 3Skyba took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBrichacekSkybaB − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.840.8−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekSkybaBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 300 vs 74 / 13251.7%56.1%155 / 300 vs 74 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaBrichacek 2.20/Skyba 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 08:58D. Brichacek—811712113M. Skyba—114111082
LAug 29 · 06:30D. Brichacek—55100M. Skyba—1111123
WJul 25 · 05:45D. Brichacek—111167113M. Skyba—86111192
LJul 7 · 07:00D. Brichacek—781161M. Skyba—11117113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162
M. Skyba10
WAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 16:00L. Kolman1.8371114992M. Skyba1.831191211113WAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113LAug 31 · 13:30Z. Vasatko2.3811125113M. Skyba1.535101181LAug 29 · 08:58M. Skyba1.44114111082D. Brichacek2.63811712113WAug 29 · 08:00M. Skyba1.401111113R. Merkl2.759580WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 17 · 12:45L. Kolman1.83816911113M. Skyba1.83111411572WAug 17 · 11:15T. Hybl1.835540M. Skyba1.831111113LAug 17 · 10:45M. Skyba1.8067111172L. Kolman1.91111159113
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