TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049828
Played Aug 31Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151210511118––
Martin Skyba
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skyba to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Martin Skyba below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Skyba at 62.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 2–4 Martin Skyba Zdenek Vasatko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skyba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Skyba
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1693 vs Skyba 1676
Vasatko
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 60% vs Skyba 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 60% vs Skyba 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko -1 · Skyba -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Skyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 2.38 / Skyba 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Skyba)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049828
Vasatko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 25 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Skyba1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite68% won 21 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVasatko2wins
AwaySkyba4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkyba leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkyba80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko1Skyba5n = 6Skyba took 5 of 6
S2Vasatko4Skyba2n = 6Vasatko took 4 of 6
S3Vasatko4Skyba2n = 6Vasatko took 4 of 6
S4Vasatko2Skyba2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVasatkoSkybaV − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match37.040.0−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoSkybaBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 272 vs 74 / 13249.6%56.1%135 / 272 vs 74 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaVasatko 2.38/Skyba 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMay 22 · 14:45Z. Vasatko—5670M. Skyba—1111113
WJan 17 · 14:45Z. Vasatko—1112103M. Skyba—91080
LJan 2 · 17:00Z. Vasatko—71191372M. Skyba—1141111113
LDec 3 · 08:00Z. Vasatko—121212772M. Skyba—14101011113
WMar 30 · 15:15Z. Vasatko—81114113M. Skyba—1141251
LFeb 18 · 08:30Z. Vasatko—371371M. Skyba—111111113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113
M. Skyba10
WAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 16:00L. Kolman1.8371114992M. Skyba1.831191211113WAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113LAug 29 · 08:58M. Skyba1.44114111082D. Brichacek2.63811712113WAug 29 · 08:00M. Skyba1.401111113R. Merkl2.759580WAug 29 · 06:30D. Brichacek2.2055100M. Skyba1.611111123WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 17 · 12:45L. Kolman1.83816911113M. Skyba1.83111411572WAug 17 · 11:15T. Hybl1.835540M. Skyba1.831111113LAug 17 · 10:45M. Skyba1.8067111172L. Kolman1.91111159113
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