TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079250
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 0
Set by set
11911999––––
Matej Svitac
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMatej Svitac to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-9
Point 58 set 3, 9-9 — our read held Matej Svitac at 56.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 4–6 Matej Svitac Zdenek Vasatko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svitac
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Svitac
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1625 vs Svitac 1674
Svitac
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 20% vs Svitac 40%
Svitac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 30% vs Svitac 50%
Svitac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko -1 · Svitac -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 2.00 / Svitac 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Svitac)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079250
Vasatko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 27 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Svitac1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 65 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko4wins
AwaySvitac6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSvitac leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvitac100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko6Svitac4n = 10Vasatko took 6 of 10
S2Vasatko3Svitac7n = 10Svitac took 7 of 10
S3Vasatko5Svitac5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasatko4Svitac4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoSvitacV − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.336.0−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 280 vs 206 / 37448.9%55.1%137 / 280 vs 206 / 374Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacVasatko 2.00/Svitac 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–0
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 10:45Z. Vasatko—8150M. Svitac—1111113
LMay 14 · 10:45Z. Vasatko—871171M. Svitac—11115113
LMay 1 · 10:45Z. Vasatko—91181172M. Svitac—119114113
WMar 24 · 10:30Z. Vasatko—1111113M. Svitac—8560
WMar 16 · 14:08Z. Vasatko—11117123M. Svitac—8711101
LMar 16 · 12:00Z. Vasatko—1341051M. Svitac—111112113
LMar 14 · 16:15Z. Vasatko—631151M. Svitac—11115113
LFeb 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko—1110861M. Svitac—61211113
WFeb 19 · 13:12Z. Vasatko—111011113M. Svitac—712791
WFeb 19 · 11:15Z. Vasatko—11811113M. Svitac—811561
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
M. Svitac10
WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860LSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150
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