TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073052
Played Sep 4Finished
Matej Svitac
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118111115––––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Svitac to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMatej Svitac above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 47 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Matej Svitac at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Matej Svitac 5–4 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vasatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svitac 1667 vs Vasatko 1649
Svitac
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svitac 20% vs Vasatko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svitac 50% vs Vasatko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svitac -3 · Vasatko -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvitac 1.91 / Vasatko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svitac)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073052
Svitac1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 24 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Vasatko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 37 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSvitac5wins
AwayVasatko4wins
1 of 9 to a deciderSvitac leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvitac100%3 of 3
AwayVasatko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svitac3Vasatko6n = 9Vasatko took 6 of 9
S2Svitac6Vasatko3n = 9Svitac took 6 of 9
S3Svitac4Vasatko5n = 9Vasatko took 5 of 9
S4Svitac4Vasatko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSvitacVasatkoS − VBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.336.6−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvitacVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 371 vs 136 / 27755%49.1%204 / 371 vs 136 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacSvitac 1.91/Vasatko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WMay 14 · 10:45M. Svitac—11115113Z. Vasatko—871171
WMay 1 · 10:45M. Svitac—119114113Z. Vasatko—91181172
LMar 24 · 10:30M. Svitac—8560Z. Vasatko—1111113
LMar 16 · 14:08M. Svitac—8711101Z. Vasatko—11117123
WMar 16 · 12:00M. Svitac—111112113Z. Vasatko—1341051
WMar 14 · 16:15M. Svitac—11115113Z. Vasatko—631151
WFeb 7 · 12:00M. Svitac—61211113Z. Vasatko—1110861
LFeb 19 · 13:12M. Svitac—712791Z. Vasatko—111011113
LFeb 19 · 11:15M. Svitac—811561Z. Vasatko—11811113
M. Svitac10
WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860LSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
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