TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13083559
Played Sep 5Finished
Libor Smazik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311511114711––
Matej Svitac
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLibor Smazik above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 63 set 4, 7-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Libor Smazik 9–6 Matej Svitac Matej Svitac has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmazik 1.80 / Svitac 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Smazik)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13083559
Smazik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 63 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it74% 50 of 68
Svitac1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmazik5wins
AwaySvitac5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmazik50%3 of 6
AwaySvitac50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smazik6Svitac4n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10
S2Smazik4Svitac6n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10
S3Smazik7Svitac3n = 10Smazik took 7 of 10
S4Smazik3Svitac5n = 8Svitac took 5 of 8
S5Smazik2Svitac2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmazikSvitacSmazik − SvitacBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.638.8−1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmazikSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 403 vs 207 / 37751.9%54.9%209 / 403 vs 207 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikSmazik 1.80/Svitac 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:45L. Smazik—761151M. Svitac—11117113
LMay 2 · 19:45L. Smazik—114631M. Svitac—61111113
WApr 27 · 09:15L. Smazik—1111123M. Svitac—19100
WApr 13 · 12:14L. Smazik—1111113M. Svitac—9870
LApr 13 · 11:15L. Smazik—119961M. Svitac—91111113
WApr 1 · 12:00L. Smazik—11711113M. Svitac—911851
WMar 24 · 13:38L. Smazik—771111143M. Svitac—111168122
LMar 24 · 12:30L. Smazik—1013115102M. Svitac—1211711123
WMar 20 · 13:49L. Smazik—813111113M. Svitac—111111282
LMar 20 · 11:15L. Smazik—11211862M. Svitac—611711113
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113LJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad2.00111110113L. Smazik1.73561251LJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik1.73121111992L. Kolman2.00146811113WJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad2.009590L. Smazik1.731111113
M. Svitac10
WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860LSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150
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