TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234067
Played Jul 16Finished
Petr Semrad
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151161012115––
Libor Smazik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Libor Smazik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5
71 points played in total.
H2H Petr Semrad 27–27 Libor Smazik Dead even across their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemrad 2.00 / Smazik 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Smazik)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234067
Semrad2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog52% won 50 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Smazik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemrad4wins
AwaySmazik6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSmazik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemrad66.7%2 of 3
AwaySmazik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semrad3Smazik7n = 10Smazik took 7 of 10
S2Semrad3Smazik7n = 10Smazik took 7 of 10
S3Semrad5Smazik5n = 10split evenly
S4Semrad3Smazik1n = 4Semrad took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemradSmazikSemrad − SmazikBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.4−1.9per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemradSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 501 vs 230 / 44148.9%52.2%245 / 501 vs 230 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikSemrad 2.00/Smazik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Semrad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 12:58P. Semrad—125111192L. Smazik—141158113
LJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad—9590L. Smazik—1111113
LJul 13 · 13:30P. Semrad—711110L. Smazik—1113133
WJul 12 · 12:58P. Semrad—1111113L. Smazik—8890
LJul 12 · 12:00P. Semrad—9880L. Smazik—1111113
WJul 11 · 12:00P. Semrad—8101511113L. Smazik—111213532
WJul 10 · 16:23P. Semrad—81711113L. Smazik—1115371
LJul 10 · 13:15P. Semrad—1211241L. Smazik—101311113
WJun 21 · 14:00P. Semrad—1113113L. Smazik—81190
LJun 19 · 11:15P. Semrad—51060L. Smazik—1112113
P. Semrad10
LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113LJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik1.73121111992L. Kolman2.00146811113WJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad2.009590L. Smazik1.731111113
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