TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12244263
Played Jul 16Finished
Libor Smazik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116113––––
Tomas Hucko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLibor Smazik above · Tomas Hucko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 50 set 3, 11-3
50 points played in total.
H2H Libor Smazik 14–6 Tomas Hucko Tomas Hucko has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hucko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmazik 1.50 / Hucko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Smazik)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12244263
Smazik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 93
Hucko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog56% won 38 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back34% 13 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmazik6wins
AwayHucko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSmazik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmazik62.5%5 of 8
AwayHuckon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smazik8Hucko2n = 10Smazik took 8 of 10
S2Smazik5Hucko5n = 10split evenly
S3Smazik7Hucko3n = 10Smazik took 7 of 10
S4Smazik4Hucko3n = 7Smazik took 4 of 7
S5Smazik1Hucko3n = 4Hucko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmazikHuckoS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.834.3+6.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmazikHuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 443 vs 166 / 32252.1%51.6%231 / 443 vs 166 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikSmazik 1.50/Hucko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Smazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 13:15L. Smazik—117881T. Hucko—61111113
WJun 21 · 14:30L. Smazik—1111113T. Hucko—8640
WJun 6 · 17:45L. Smazik—1211113T. Hucko—10760
LMay 23 · 09:45L. Smazik—141161152T. Hucko—1281113113
WApr 11 · 13:45L. Smazik—491111113T. Hucko—11119352
WMar 10 · 10:15L. Smazik—11711113T. Hucko—811991
LMar 7 · 20:45L. Smazik—11911982T. Hucko—511611113
LFeb 25 · 13:48L. Smazik—1111911112T. Hucko—132114133
WFeb 25 · 10:45L. Smazik—1111113T. Hucko—7450
WFeb 24 · 12:15L. Smazik—11711113T. Hucko—711651
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113LJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad2.00111110113L. Smazik1.73561251LJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik1.73121111992L. Kolman2.00146811113WJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad2.009590L. Smazik1.731111113
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881
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