TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234046
Played Jul 16Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117118118––
Libor Smazik
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Libor Smazik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 5–14 Libor Smazik Tomas Hucko has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hucko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 2.63 / Smazik 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Smazik)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12234046
Hucko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog56% won 38 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back34% 13 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Smazik1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 88 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHucko3wins
AwaySmazik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSmazik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuckon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySmazik75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko2Smazik8n = 10Smazik took 8 of 10
S2Hucko4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10
S3Hucko2Smazik8n = 10Smazik took 8 of 10
S4Hucko2Smazik4n = 6Smazik took 4 of 6
S5Hucko3Smazik1n = 4Hucko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHuckoSmazikH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.341.0−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 319 vs 230 / 44051.7%52.3%165 / 319 vs 230 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikHucko 2.63/Smazik 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 21 · 14:30T. Hucko—8640L. Smazik—1111113
LJun 6 · 17:45T. Hucko—10760L. Smazik—1211113
WMay 23 · 09:45T. Hucko—1281113113L. Smazik—141161152
LApr 11 · 13:45T. Hucko—11119352L. Smazik—491111113
LMar 10 · 10:15T. Hucko—811991L. Smazik—11711113
WMar 7 · 20:45T. Hucko—511611113L. Smazik—11911982
WFeb 25 · 13:48T. Hucko—132114133L. Smazik—1111911112
LFeb 25 · 10:45T. Hucko—7450L. Smazik—1111113
LFeb 24 · 12:15T. Hucko—711651L. Smazik—11711113
LNov 18 · 11:00T. Hucko—98120L. Smazik—1111143
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692WAug 27 · 11:45T. Hucko1.73711811113L. Kolman2.0011911962
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113LJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad2.00111110113L. Smazik1.73561251WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik1.73121111992L. Kolman2.00146811113WJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad2.009590L. Smazik1.731111113
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