TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12226561
Played Jul 15Finished
Petr Semrad
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511911––––
Libor Smazik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Libor Smazik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Petr Semrad 27–25 Libor Smazik Libor Smazik has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semrad form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemrad 2.00 / Smazik 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Smazik)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12226561
Semrad2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 50 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back34% 15 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Smazik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 85 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemrad5wins
AwaySmazik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemrad66.7%2 of 3
AwaySmazik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semrad3Smazik7n = 10Smazik took 7 of 10
S2Semrad4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10
S3Semrad4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10
S4Semrad3Smazik1n = 4Semrad took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemradSmazikSemrad − SmazikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.936.8−1.9per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemradSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 497 vs 227 / 43649.1%52.1%244 / 497 vs 227 / 436Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikSemrad 2.00/Smazik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Smazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 13 · 13:30P. Semrad—711110L. Smazik—1113133
WJul 12 · 12:58P. Semrad—1111113L. Smazik—8890
LJul 12 · 12:00P. Semrad—9880L. Smazik—1111113
WJul 11 · 12:00P. Semrad—8101511113L. Smazik—111213532
WJul 10 · 16:23P. Semrad—81711113L. Smazik—1115371
LJul 10 · 13:15P. Semrad—1211241L. Smazik—101311113
WJun 21 · 14:00P. Semrad—1113113L. Smazik—81190
LJun 19 · 11:15P. Semrad—51060L. Smazik—1112113
LJun 6 · 20:28P. Semrad—9470L. Smazik—1111113
WJun 6 · 19:15P. Semrad—1213611133L. Smazik—1411116112
P. Semrad10
LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113LJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad2.00111110113L. Smazik1.73561251LJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik1.73121111992L. Kolman2.00146811113
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