Dominik Marasek vs Petr Semrad 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13072515

Played Sep 3Finished

Dominik Marasek

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1416115119119––

Petr Semrad

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingDominik Marasek above · Petr Semrad below

Set 1 · 14-16

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 86 set 4, 11-9

86 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Marasek 6–13 Petr Semrad Dominik Marasek has won 6 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Semrad)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarasek 2.38 / Semrad 1.53

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Semrad)+1.2pp

Setka Cup · #13072515

Marasek2.38

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog40% won 26 of 65

Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16

Semrad1.53

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite54% won 90 of 166

Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42

Up 1–0, closes it68% 59 of 87

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMarasek3wins

AwaySemrad7wins

1 of 10 to a deciderSemrad leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMarasek40%2 of 5

AwaySemrad80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Marasek5Semrad5n = 10split evenly

S2Marasek5Semrad5n = 10split evenly

S3Marasek4Semrad6n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10

S4Marasek0Semrad7n = 7Semrad took 7 of 7

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away660%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMarasekSemradM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.739.5−3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarasekSemradBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 241 vs 272 / 53550.2%50.8%121 / 241 vs 272 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Semrad

Marasek 2.38/Semrad 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

62%

Semrad · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Marasek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 3 · 16:00D. Marasek—561171P. Semrad—11116113

WSep 1 · 13:45D. Marasek—10151811113P. Semrad—1213161342

LAug 21 · 14:15D. Marasek—127661P. Semrad—101111113

LAug 18 · 16:48D. Marasek—9119121P. Semrad—11911143

LAug 18 · 13:15D. Marasek—412100P. Semrad—1114123

LJul 31 · 15:15D. Marasek—612771P. Semrad—111011113

LJun 16 · 14:15D. Marasek—1184101P. Semrad—81111123

WJun 10 · 16:49D. Marasek—1112113P. Semrad—71020

WJun 10 · 15:45D. Marasek—1111113P. Semrad—9970

LApr 30 · 15:15D. Marasek—1281031P. Semrad—101112113

D. Marasek10

LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171 WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113 WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123 WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540 WSep 1 · 15:45D. Marasek1.8311207113M. Svitac1.836181171 WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113 WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113 WAug 24 · 17:03R. Merkl2.50661181D. Marasek1.5011118113 WAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131 WAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361

P. Semrad10

LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162 WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382 WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860 WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351 WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171 LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111 WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113 WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113 LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113 LSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113

Upcoming Matches

D. Marasek

Sep 7 · 14:00D. Marasek2.25P. Semrad1.57—Sep 7 · 14:30D. Marasek2.10L. Smazik1.67—Sep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.38D. Horak1.53—Sep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10P. Oplt1.67—

P. Semrad

Sep 7 · 14:00P. Semrad1.57D. Marasek2.25—Sep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.73D. Horak2.00—Sep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.91P. Oplt1.80—Sep 7 · 15:30P. Semrad1.73L. Smazik2.00—

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