TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055138
Played Sep 1Finished
Dominik Marasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1162018711117––
Matej Svitac
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Svitac to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Marasek above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 20-18
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 91 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Matej Svitac at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svitac
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Marasek 1673 vs Svitac 1712
Svitac
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marasek 100% vs Svitac 80%
Marasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marasek 80% vs Svitac 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marasek +5 · Svitac +1
Marasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarasek 1.83 / Svitac 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svitac)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055138
Marasek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Svitac1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarasekSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 236 vs 205 / 37249.6%55.1%117 / 236 vs 205 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacMarasek 1.83/Svitac 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marasek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Marasek10
WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113WAug 24 · 17:03R. Merkl2.50661181D. Marasek1.5011118113WAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131WAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361
M. Svitac10
WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860LSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113WSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113
Upcoming Matches
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