TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067374
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Hybl
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111012––––
Dominik Marasek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Marasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Dominik Marasek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dominik Marasek at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 1–1 Dominik Marasek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Marasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1590 vs Marasek 1697
Marasek
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 20% vs Marasek 100%
Marasek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 40% vs Marasek 90%
Marasek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl -2 · Marasek +5
Marasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Marasek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marasek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 2.25 / Marasek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Marasek)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067374
Hybl2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Marasek1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 30 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHybl1wins
AwayMarasek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHyblMarasekH − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.028.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblMarasekBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 158 vs 119 / 23851.3%50%81 / 158 vs 119 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarasekHybl 2.25/Marasek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Marasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 21 · 15:45T. Hybl—1111113D. Marasek—5990
LAug 5 · 14:45T. Hybl—9840D. Marasek—1111113
T. Hybl10
LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162LAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371LAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 25 · 12:18Z. Vasatko1.7371113113T. Hybl2.001161191WAug 25 · 11:15T. Hucko1.8376100T. Hybl1.831111123LAug 25 · 10:45T. Hybl1.831091131Z. Vasatko1.8312119113
D. Marasek10
WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540WSep 1 · 15:45D. Marasek1.8311207113M. Svitac1.836181171WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113WAug 24 · 17:03R. Merkl2.50661181D. Marasek1.5011118113WAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131WAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361
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