TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13004419
Played Aug 24Finished
Roman Merkl
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611118811––
Dominik Marasek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingRoman Merkl above · Dominik Marasek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Roman Merkl 6–6 Dominik Marasek Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Marasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMerkl 2.50 / Marasek 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Marasek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13004419
Merkl2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 93 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back40% 44 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 49
Marasek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 26 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMerkl5wins
AwayMarasek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMerkl66.7%2 of 3
AwayMarasek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Merkl3Marasek7n = 10Marasek took 7 of 10
S2Merkl6Marasek4n = 10Merkl took 6 of 10
S3Merkl7Marasek3n = 10Merkl took 7 of 10
S4Merkl3Marasek6n = 9Marasek took 6 of 9
S5Merkl2Marasek1n = 3Merkl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMerklMarasekMerkl − MarasekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.3−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMerklMarasekBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 562 vs 115 / 24148.6%47.7%273 / 562 vs 115 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarasekMerkl 2.50/Marasek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Marasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Marasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 13:30R. Merkl—5101291D. Marasek—111210113
WAug 7 · 15:30R. Merkl—171111113D. Marasek—192881
WMar 31 · 16:45R. Merkl—61111113D. Marasek—114991
LMar 31 · 14:15R. Merkl—711771D. Marasek—11811113
WMar 30 · 08:55R. Merkl—1113117113D. Marasek—91531162
LMar 30 · 06:45R. Merkl—11912872D. Marasek—9111011113
LMar 23 · 06:45R. Merkl—8312101D. Marasek—111110123
WFeb 16 · 09:46R. Merkl—712611113D. Marasek—111011992
WFeb 16 · 08:45R. Merkl—1111113D. Marasek—6580
LFeb 6 · 17:58R. Merkl—711681D. Marasek—11611113
R. Merkl10
LSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111WSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891LSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101LSep 2 · 21:04M. Hajek1.611111133R. Merkl2.2026110WSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 18:00R. Merkl2.251481191M. Hajek1.5716116113WAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102LAug 30 · 08:00R. Merkl2.38614671L. Kolman1.53111211113
D. Marasek10
WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540WSep 1 · 15:45D. Marasek1.8311207113M. Svitac1.836181171WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113WAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131WAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361
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