TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061699
Played Sep 2Finished
Roman Merkl
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1416811116911––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Merkl above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 60.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Roman Merkl 13–21 Miroslav Hajek Roman Merkl has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-21 in 34
Hajek
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Merkl 1537 vs Hajek 1653
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Merkl 40% vs Hajek 60%
Hajek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Merkl 40% vs Hajek 60%
Hajek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Merkl +1 · Hajek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMerkl 2.25 / Hajek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hajek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061699
Merkl2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 94 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back37% 43 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back19% 10 of 53
Hajek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMerkl3wins
AwayHajek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMerkln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHajek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Merkl2Hajek8n = 10Hajek took 8 of 10
S2Merkl6Hajek4n = 10Merkl took 6 of 10
S3Merkl3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Merkl5Hajek3n = 8Merkl took 5 of 8
S5Merkl1Hajek3n = 4Hajek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMerklHajekM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.6−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMerklHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 567 vs 364 / 67248.2%54.2%273 / 567 vs 364 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekMerkl 2.25/Hajek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 20:50R. Merkl—51191172M. Hajek—119116113
WAug 28 · 19:45R. Merkl—121111113M. Hajek—1081341
LAug 7 · 13:30R. Merkl—91111452M. Hajek—118711113
LNov 1 · 09:00R. Merkl—41070M. Hajek—1112113
LJul 30 · 13:15R. Merkl—9560M. Hajek—1111113
WJul 30 · 08:37R. Merkl—1181211133M. Hajek—411145112
LJul 30 · 06:30R. Merkl—781111112M. Hajek—111186133
LJul 27 · 06:15R. Merkl—4119111M. Hajek—11911133
WJul 21 · 19:15R. Merkl—71211143M. Hajek—11105121
LJul 20 · 06:45R. Merkl—811781M. Hajek—11911113
R. Merkl10
LSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111WSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891LSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101LSep 2 · 21:04M. Hajek1.611111133R. Merkl2.2026110WSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960WAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102LAug 30 · 08:00R. Merkl2.38614671L. Kolman1.53111211113LAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 2 · 21:04M. Hajek1.611111133R. Merkl2.2026110
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.