TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037608
Played Aug 29Finished
David Brichacek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1159111181210––
Tomas Hybl
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Hybl to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Tomas Hybl below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Hybl at 62.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 2–4 Tomas Hybl David Brichacek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hybl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Hybl
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brichacek 1622 vs Hybl 1590
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brichacek 60% vs Hybl 40%
Brichacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brichacek 60% vs Hybl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brichacek -2 · Hybl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Hybl) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hybl form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 2.50 / Hybl 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Hybl)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13037608
Brichacek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 47 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back36% 23 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Hybl1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 37 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBrichacek2wins
AwayHybl4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHybl leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek50%2 of 4
AwayHybln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek4Hybl2n = 6Brichacek took 4 of 6
S2Brichacek4Hybl2n = 6Brichacek took 4 of 6
S3Brichacek2Hybl4n = 6Hybl took 4 of 6
S4Brichacek1Hybl3n = 4Hybl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBrichacekHyblB − HBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match36.537.8−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekHyblBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 300 vs 81 / 15851.7%51.3%155 / 300 vs 81 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblBrichacek 2.50/Hybl 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek—11911123T. Hybl—5118101
LAug 15 · 18:15D. Brichacek—121118102T. Hybl—1071111123
WJun 14 · 13:04D. Brichacek—1113113T. Hybl—71170
LJun 14 · 12:00D. Brichacek—3116121T. Hybl—11611143
LMay 16 · 13:04D. Brichacek—11117852T. Hybl—521111113
LMay 16 · 09:30D. Brichacek—61180T. Hybl—1113113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113WSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250WSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113WSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek2.20611211113P. Orlowski1.6111811592WSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162
T. Hybl10
LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371LAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 25 · 12:18Z. Vasatko1.7371113113T. Hybl2.001161191WAug 25 · 11:15T. Hucko1.8376100T. Hybl1.831111123LAug 25 · 10:45T. Hybl1.831091131Z. Vasatko1.8312119113
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