TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13040662
Played Aug 29Finished
Roman Merkl
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811117711116
Tomas Hybl
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRoman Merkl above · Tomas Hybl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6
91 points played in total.
H2H Roman Merkl 3–5 Tomas Hybl Roman Merkl has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hybl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hybl form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMerkl 2.63 / Hybl 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Hybl)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13040662
Merkl2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 94 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back40% 44 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 50
Hybl1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMerkl3wins
AwayHybl5wins
Hybl leads 5–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMerkl75%3 of 4
AwayHybl100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Merkl4Hybl4n = 8split evenly
S2Merkl4Hybl4n = 8split evenly
S3Merkl3Hybl5n = 8Hybl took 5 of 8
S4Merkl2Hybl4n = 6Hybl took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMerklHyblM − HBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match34.435.4−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMerklHyblBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 570 vs 81 / 15748.1%51.6%274 / 570 vs 81 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblMerkl 2.63/Hybl 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Merkl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 29 · 07:00R. Merkl—781371T. Hybl—111111113
LApr 21 · 12:59R. Merkl—51110131T. Hybl—11612153
LApr 21 · 09:30R. Merkl—711841T. Hybl—11611113
WJan 31 · 09:52R. Merkl—11911113T. Hybl—611471
WJan 31 · 06:30R. Merkl—1111113T. Hybl—9870
LJan 6 · 08:00R. Merkl—1166101T. Hybl—81111123
WDec 27 · 09:23R. Merkl—11117113T. Hybl—781131
LDec 27 · 07:45R. Merkl—7790T. Hybl—1111113
R. Merkl10
LSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111WSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891LSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101LSep 2 · 21:04M. Hajek1.611111133R. Merkl2.2026110WSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 18:00R. Merkl2.251481191M. Hajek1.5716116113WAug 30 · 08:29R. Merkl1.911191111123A. Pavlik1.80611139102LAug 30 · 08:00R. Merkl2.38614671L. Kolman1.53111211113
T. Hybl10
LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371LAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 25 · 12:18Z. Vasatko1.7371113113T. Hybl2.001161191WAug 25 · 11:15T. Hucko1.8376100T. Hybl1.831111123LAug 25 · 10:45T. Hybl1.831091131Z. Vasatko1.8312119113
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