TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067335
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Hybl
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111151171311––
Petr Semrad
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Semrad to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Petr Semrad below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Petr Semrad at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 4–0 Petr Semrad Petr Semrad has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hybl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Hybl
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1581 vs Semrad 1691
Semrad
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 20% vs Semrad 60%
Semrad
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 30% vs Semrad 50%
Semrad
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl -3 · Semrad +2
Hybl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semrad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hybl form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 1.80 / Semrad 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semrad)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067335
Hybl1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Semrad1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 48 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHybl4wins
AwaySemrad0wins
3 of 4 to a deciderHybl leads 4–0, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hybl2Semrad2n = 4split evenly
S2Hybl1Semrad3n = 4Semrad took 3 of 4
S3Hybl4Semrad0n = 4Hybl took 4 of 4
S4Hybl2Semrad2n = 4split evenly
S5Hybl3Semrad0n = 3Hybl took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHyblSemradH − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match46.041.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblSemradBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 159 vs 271 / 53350.9%50.8%81 / 159 vs 271 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradHybl 1.80/Semrad 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hybl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 21 · 16:45T. Hybl—1181110113P. Semrad—81181262
WAug 21 · 13:15T. Hybl—511116123P. Semrad—116711102
WJul 13 · 16:38T. Hybl—281112113P. Semrad—111141062
WJul 13 · 14:30T. Hybl—111012113P. Semrad—8121041
T. Hybl10
LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162LAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371LAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 25 · 12:18Z. Vasatko1.7371113113T. Hybl2.001161191WAug 25 · 11:15T. Hucko1.8376100T. Hybl1.831111123LAug 25 · 10:45T. Hybl1.831091131Z. Vasatko1.8312119113
P. Semrad10
LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
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