TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13083450
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12109111412411116
Petr Semrad
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Petr Semrad below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 100 set 5, 11-6
100 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 11–15 Petr Semrad Zdenek Vasatko has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Semrad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semrad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 2.50 / Semrad 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Semrad)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13083450
Vasatko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 27 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Semrad1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 92 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it68% 61 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko5wins
AwaySemrad5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko50%2 of 4
AwaySemrad50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko4Semrad6n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10
S2Vasatko5Semrad5n = 10split evenly
S3Vasatko3Semrad7n = 10Semrad took 7 of 10
S4Vasatko6Semrad2n = 8Vasatko took 6 of 8
S5Vasatko3Semrad2n = 5Vasatko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoSemradV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.6+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoSemradBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 283 vs 272 / 53549.1%50.8%139 / 283 vs 272 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradVasatko 2.50/Semrad 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:15Z. Vasatko—11741382P. Semrad—7111111113
WMay 24 · 09:30Z. Vasatko—51111113P. Semrad—118371
WMay 2 · 09:15Z. Vasatko—1111113P. Semrad—6720
WMar 21 · 14:15Z. Vasatko—115512133P. Semrad—6111110112
LMar 15 · 07:00Z. Vasatko—9680P. Semrad—1111113
LMar 13 · 15:45Z. Vasatko—1261181P. Semrad—14117113
WFeb 4 · 07:00Z. Vasatko—911911113P. Semrad—11911322
LDec 10 · 17:21Z. Vasatko—118571P. Semrad—61111113
LDec 10 · 16:15Z. Vasatko—31151142P. Semrad—115118113
WDec 5 · 13:36Z. Vasatko—7111611113P. Semrad—11418482
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
P. Semrad10
WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351LSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991WSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171LSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111WSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113LSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:15P. Semrad1.50911891P. Hala2.5011411113
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