TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13053650
Played Aug 31Finished
Leon Kolman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113114––––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4
48 points played in total.
H2H Leon Kolman 2–2 Zdenek Vasatko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vasatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 2.00 / Vasatko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vasatko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13053650
Kolman2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 69 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Vasatko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 37 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolman2wins
AwayVasatko2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman2Vasatko2n = 4split evenly
S2Kolman2Vasatko2n = 4split evenly
S3Kolman3Vasatko1n = 4Kolman took 3 of 4
S4Kolman1Vasatko2n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolmanVasatkoK − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.240.0−2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 670 vs 136 / 27553%49.5%355 / 670 vs 136 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoKolman 2.00/Vasatko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 31 · 14:30L. Kolman—921111113Z. Vasatko—11119772
WAug 27 · 09:15L. Kolman—1111123Z. Vasatko—75100
LApr 5 · 13:45L. Kolman—651171Z. Vasatko—11119113
LMar 16 · 13:00L. Kolman—11127572Z. Vasatko—8101111113
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
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