TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049504
Played Aug 31Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119112911711711
Leon Kolman
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Vasatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Zdenek Vasatko at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 2–1 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vasatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1704 vs Kolman 1631
Vasatko
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 60% vs Kolman 40%
Vasatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 60% vs Kolman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko +1 · Kolman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vasatko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 1.73 / Kolman 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vasatko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13049504
Vasatko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 37 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Kolman2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 69 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVasatko2wins
AwayKolman1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVasatko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3
S2Vasatko1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3
S3Vasatko1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVasatkoKolmanV − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.335.0+3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 273 vs 354 / 66749.8%53.1%136 / 273 vs 354 / 667Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.340.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoVasatko 1.73/Kolman 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 09:15Z. Vasatko—75100L. Kolman—1111123
WApr 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko—11119113L. Kolman—651171
WMar 16 · 13:00Z. Vasatko—8101111113L. Kolman—11127572
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340
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