TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049623
Played Aug 31Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171210511711711
Lukas Provaznik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Vasatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Lukas Provaznik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Zdenek Vasatko at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 8–10 Lukas Provaznik Zdenek Vasatko has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vasatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Provaznik
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1662 vs Provaznik 1578
Vasatko
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 60% vs Provaznik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 50% vs Provaznik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko -1 · Provaznik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vasatko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 1.80 / Provaznik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vasatko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13049623
Vasatko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 37 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Provaznik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 62 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko5wins
AwayProvaznik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko100%3 of 3
AwayProvaznik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko3Provaznik7n = 10Provaznik took 7 of 10
S2Vasatko5Provaznik5n = 10split evenly
S3Vasatko6Provaznik4n = 10Vasatko took 6 of 10
S4Vasatko3Provaznik3n = 6split evenly
S5Vasatko2Provaznik1n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoProvaznikV − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.4−0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 276 vs 156 / 32649.3%47.9%136 / 276 vs 156 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.340.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoVasatko 1.80/Provaznik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 24 · 13:13Z. Vasatko—651181L. Provaznik—11119113
WMay 24 · 11:00Z. Vasatko—711911113L. Provaznik—11511562
WMay 22 · 15:45Z. Vasatko—115116113L. Provaznik—71191132
WMay 20 · 14:15Z. Vasatko—41112113L. Provaznik—1171061
LMay 7 · 07:15Z. Vasatko—129100L. Provaznik—1411123
WApr 10 · 13:45Z. Vasatko—1111113L. Provaznik—4630
LMar 23 · 15:45Z. Vasatko—71241192L. Provaznik—1110115113
LMar 15 · 08:00Z. Vasatko—6713101L. Provaznik—111111123
LFeb 16 · 15:15Z. Vasatko—7530L. Provaznik—1111113
WFeb 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko—1111113L. Provaznik—5990
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871LAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman2.001111113Z. Vasatko1.738340LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko1.7311119772L. Kolman2.00921111113
L. Provaznik10
LSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113WSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113LAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171LAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113WAug 31 · 14:00L. Provaznik1.57121158113L. Kolman2.25102111162WAug 12 · 16:43L. Provaznik2.38911113113M. Hajek1.5311781162LAug 12 · 15:45M. Hajek1.5341111113L. Provaznik2.38117751WAug 12 · 14:45O. Horak2.00114111082L. Provaznik1.73611812113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Vasatko
L. Provaznik
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