TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12227233
Played Jul 15Finished
Libor Smazik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214116118911911
Leon Kolman
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLibor Smazik above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11
102 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmazik 1.73 / Kolman 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Smazik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12227233
Smazik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 85 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Kolman2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmazikKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 438 vs 336 / 64152.3%52.4%229 / 438 vs 336 / 641Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanSmazik 1.73/Kolman 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolman won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113LJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad2.00111110113L. Smazik1.73561251LJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192WJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad2.009590L. Smazik1.731111113
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
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