TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234248
Played Jul 16Finished
Lukas Provaznik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Libor Smazik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLukas Provaznik above · Libor Smazik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Provaznik 24–20 Libor Smazik Libor Smazik has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Provaznik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Provaznik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 1.73 / Smazik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Provaznik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12234248
Provaznik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 46 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 36 of 47
Smazik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 35 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik8wins
AwaySmazik2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderProvaznik leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik80%4 of 5
AwaySmazik20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik5Smazik5n = 10split evenly
S2Provaznik5Smazik5n = 10split evenly
S3Provaznik8Smazik2n = 10Provaznik took 8 of 10
S4Provaznik7Smazik2n = 9Provaznik took 7 of 9
S5Provaznik3Smazik2n = 5Provaznik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikSmazikP − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.239.0+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 352 vs 230 / 44246.3%52%163 / 352 vs 230 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProvaznikProvaznik 1.73/Smazik 2.00
Miss
What we said
54%
Provaznik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Smazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 13 · 17:09L. Provaznik—11811113L. Smazik—511841
LJul 13 · 15:00L. Provaznik—11811452L. Smazik—811511113
WJul 10 · 14:45L. Provaznik—1111143L. Smazik—82120
WJun 15 · 16:48L. Provaznik—711811113L. Smazik—11911532
WJun 15 · 15:45L. Provaznik—61112113L. Smazik—1161041
WMay 31 · 11:45L. Provaznik—111412153L. Smazik—61610131
WMay 24 · 10:00L. Provaznik—7121113113L. Smazik—1110131182
LMay 9 · 12:24L. Provaznik—99111192L. Smazik—111168113
WMay 9 · 11:15L. Provaznik—101111123L. Smazik—1247101
WMay 6 · 12:00L. Provaznik—117119113L. Smazik—91171182
L. Provaznik10
LSep 2 · 16:19L. Provaznik2.009460P. Semrad1.731111113WSep 2 · 15:15P. Semrad1.8399111392L. Provaznik1.831111711113LSep 2 · 14:45L. Provaznik1.61511851L. Kolman2.2011111113LSep 2 · 13:45L. Provaznik1.61711891P. Hala2.2011811113LAug 31 · 17:09M. Skyba1.61131113113L. Provaznik2.201541171WAug 31 · 15:30Z. Vasatko1.8011125772L. Provaznik1.917101111113LAug 31 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.107111161M. Skyba1.6711139113WAug 31 · 14:00L. Provaznik1.57121158113L. Kolman2.25102111162WAug 12 · 16:43L. Provaznik2.38911113113M. Hajek1.5311781162LAug 12 · 15:45M. Hajek1.5341111113L. Provaznik2.38117751
L. Smazik10
LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630LJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad2.00111110113L. Smazik1.73561251LJul 16 · 13:15T. Hucko2.6361111113L. Smazik1.44117881WJul 15 · 12:58L. Smazik1.67141158113P. Semrad2.10125111192LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik1.73121111992L. Kolman2.00146811113WJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad2.009590L. Smazik1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.