TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022716
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119811119116
Leon Kolman
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Hucko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Hucko at 56.2%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 5–4 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1611 vs Kolman 1665
Kolman
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 20% vs Kolman 60%
Kolman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 50% vs Kolman 80%
Kolman
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko -4 · Kolman -1
Hucko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hucko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hucko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 1.73 / Kolman 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hucko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13022716
Hucko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 29 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Kolman2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 67 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back24% 18 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHucko5wins
AwayKolman4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderHucko leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHucko60%3 of 5
AwayKolman50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko5Kolman4n = 9Hucko took 5 of 9
S2Hucko4Kolman5n = 9Kolman took 5 of 9
S3Hucko4Kolman5n = 9Kolman took 5 of 9
S4Hucko4Kolman3n = 7Hucko took 4 of 7
S5Hucko3Kolman1n = 4Hucko took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricHuckoKolmanH − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.839.80.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 338 vs 355 / 66951.5%53.1%174 / 338 vs 355 / 669Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuckoHucko 1.73/Kolman 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 18 · 06:45T. Hucko—311511113L. Kolman—11611672
LAug 16 · 09:15T. Hucko—119871L. Kolman—81111113
LAug 13 · 10:45T. Hucko—61171192L. Kolman—119118113
WAug 12 · 12:14T. Hucko—1111113L. Kolman—4890
WAug 12 · 10:15T. Hucko—1111133L. Kolman—77110
WFeb 5 · 13:33T. Hucko—991111113L. Kolman—11119892
WFeb 5 · 12:30T. Hucko—157711113L. Kolman—131111852
LDec 27 · 21:29T. Hucko—571191L. Kolman—11119113
LDec 27 · 20:30T. Hucko—1161181L. Kolman—71113113
T. Hucko10
WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871WSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262WSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113WSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:45T. Hucko1.80111264102M. Hajek1.917101111123LAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692LAug 27 · 10:15Z. Vasatko1.831051112113T. Hucko1.83121191062
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WAug 27 · 12:48L. Kolman2.001181114113T. Hucko1.7371151692
Upcoming Matches
T. Hucko
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L. Kolman
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