TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055419
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111181171311––
Petr Provaznik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 78 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Petr Maly at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:47What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maly
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Maly 1499 vs Provaznik 1569
Provaznik
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 40% vs Provaznik 60%
Provaznik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 30% vs Provaznik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -1 · Provaznik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.73 / Provaznik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maly)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055419
Maly1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 70 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it69% 53 of 77
Provaznik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 33 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 440 vs 230 / 48253.9%47.7%237 / 440 vs 230 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.73/Provaznik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maly won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113
P. Provaznik10
WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113LSep 1 · 20:48P. Provaznik2.751071171M. Hajek1.4012116113WSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113LSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162WAug 28 · 20:19A. Pavlik1.679970P. Provaznik2.101111113LAug 28 · 19:15P. Provaznik1.80861191A. Pavlik1.9111114103LAug 28 · 18:15P. Provaznik2.509101121M. Hajek1.5011126113
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