TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12456228
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Kanka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111210511112118
Milos Soukup
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Milos Soukup below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 86 set 5, 11-8
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kanka 3–1 Milos Soukup Milos Soukup has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kanka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soukup form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 1.67 / Soukup 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kanka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12456228
Kanka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Soukup2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 14 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKanka3wins
AwaySoukup1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKanka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanka2Soukup2n = 4split evenly
S2Kanka3Soukup1n = 4Kanka took 3 of 4
S3Kanka3Soukup1n = 4Kanka took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKankaSoukupK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.531.5+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaSoukupBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 381 vs 27 / 5848%46.6%183 / 381 vs 27 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KankaKanka 1.67/Soukup 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kanka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 18 · 14:00T. Kanka—1114113M. Soukup—91270
WJul 1 · 16:00T. Kanka—311116113M. Soukup—11741172
LJun 9 · 15:15T. Kanka—11590M. Soukup—1311113
WMay 12 · 14:30T. Kanka—1211123M. Soukup—103100
T. Kanka10
LAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman1.501111512113T. Kanka2.50913111092WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192WAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110WAug 30 · 05:30T. Kanka2.63111166113L. Kolman1.4496111152LAug 22 · 09:04L. Kolman1.531111113T. Kanka2.3879100WAug 22 · 07:30P. Orlowski1.579740T. Kanka2.251111113LAug 22 · 07:00T. Kanka2.3894111162L. Kolman1.53111199113LAug 22 · 06:00T. Kanka1.80881181R. Merkl1.9111115113LAug 19 · 17:03J. Juppa2.501111113T. Kanka1.505590WAug 19 · 16:00T. Kanka1.50611911113J. Juppa2.5011411552
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113LAug 18 · 15:30O. Chadima1.911213113M. Soukup1.80101190LAug 18 · 15:00M. Soukup1.8376110L. Kolman1.831111133
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