TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462033
Played Aug 20Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811911––––
Pavel Hala
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMilos Soukup to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Milos Soukup at 65.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Milos Soukup 5–2 Pavel Hala Pavel Hala has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Soukup
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Soukup
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Soukup 1453 vs Hala 1598
Hala
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soukup 20% vs Hala 60%
Hala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soukup 20% vs Hala 70%
Hala
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soukup -4 · Hala +1
Soukup
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Soukup) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 1.50 / Hala 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Soukup)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12462033
Soukup1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 11 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Hala2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 42 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSoukup5wins
AwayHala2wins
4 of 7 to a deciderSoukup leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSoukup100%4 of 4
AwayHala66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soukup4Hala3n = 7Soukup took 4 of 7
S2Soukup5Hala2n = 7Soukup took 5 of 7
S3Soukup3Hala4n = 7Hala took 4 of 7
S4Soukup2Hala2n = 4split evenly
S5Soukup3Hala1n = 4Soukup took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSoukupHalaS − HBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.436.7+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 63 vs 310 / 61742.9%50.2%27 / 63 vs 310 / 617Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupSoukup 1.50/Hala 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup—6890P. Hala—1111113
WJun 18 · 16:49M. Soukup—1111113P. Hala—2540
WJun 18 · 13:45M. Soukup—1113113P. Hala—51180
WJun 3 · 14:45M. Soukup—121196113P. Hala—104111162
WMay 20 · 16:50M. Soukup—1111713113P. Hala—97111582
WMay 20 · 15:30M. Soukup—6101111113P. Hala—11127962
LMay 13 · 14:00M. Soukup—31211172P. Hala—1110119113
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 18 · 16:38T. Kanka1.67512511113M. Soukup2.10111011282LAug 18 · 15:30O. Chadima1.911213113M. Soukup1.80101190LAug 18 · 15:00M. Soukup1.8376110L. Kolman1.831111133
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
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