TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023202
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Hanke
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511511––––
Milos Soukup
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilos Soukup to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hanke above · Milos Soukup below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 46 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Milos Soukup at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hanke 0–3 Milos Soukup Tomas Hanke has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:01What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Soukup
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Soukup
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanke 1505 vs Soukup 1466
Hanke
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanke 40% vs Soukup 0%
Hanke
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanke 60% vs Soukup 10%
Hanke
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanke +1 · Soukup -5
Soukup
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Soukup)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soukup form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanke 1.91 / Soukup 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Soukup)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13023202
Hanke1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 33 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Soukup1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite41% won 11 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHanke0wins
AwaySoukup3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSoukup leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanke1Soukup2n = 3Soukup took 2 of 3
S2Hanke0Soukup3n = 3Soukup took 3 of 3
S3Hanke1Soukup2n = 3Soukup took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricHankeSoukupH − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match24.739.7−15.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHankeSoukupBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 525 vs 29 / 6754.1%43.3%284 / 525 vs 29 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupHanke 1.91/Soukup 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Soukup won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 16:23T. Hanke—121111552M. Soukup—1013711113
LAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke—3550M. Soukup—1111113
LJun 18 · 15:15T. Hanke—25100M. Soukup—1111123
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440LAug 28 · 19:30T. Hanke2.10611512122D. Brichacek1.671161110143
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113LAug 18 · 16:38T. Kanka1.67512511113M. Soukup2.10111011282LAug 18 · 15:30O. Chadima1.911213113M. Soukup1.80101190LAug 18 · 15:00M. Soukup1.8376110L. Kolman1.831111133
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