TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451537
Played Aug 18Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111113––––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeLeon Kolman to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Leon Kolman at 58.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Milos Soukup 2–1 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Soukup 1550 vs Kolman 1612
Kolman
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soukup 40% vs Kolman 20%
Soukup
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soukup 40% vs Kolman 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Soukup -1 · Kolman -4
Kolman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolman) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 1.83 / Kolman 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kolman)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12451537
Soukup1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kolman1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSoukup2wins
AwayKolman1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSoukup leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soukup2Kolman1n = 3Soukup took 2 of 3
S2Soukup1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3
S3Soukup2Kolman1n = 3Soukup took 2 of 3
S4Soukup1Kolman2n = 3Kolman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSoukupKolmanS − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.038.7+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 56 vs 356 / 67248.2%53%27 / 56 vs 356 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanSoukup 1.83/Kolman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 18 · 05:30M. Soukup—119116123L. Kolman—711311102
LFeb 20 · 16:15M. Soukup—661241L. Kolman—111110113
WFeb 4 · 17:18M. Soukup—11126113L. Kolman—5101151
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113LAug 18 · 16:38T. Kanka1.67512511113M. Soukup2.10111011282LAug 18 · 15:30O. Chadima1.911213113M. Soukup1.80101190
L. Kolman10
WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113WSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
Upcoming Matches
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L. Kolman
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