TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12461920
Played Aug 20Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411811––––
Vladimir Lopata
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Lopata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Vladimir Lopata below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 49 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vladimir Lopata at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lopata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Soukup 1502 vs Lopata 1546
Lopata
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soukup 0% vs Lopata 80%
Lopata
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soukup 20% vs Lopata 70%
Lopata
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soukup -5 · Lopata +1
Soukup
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lopata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lopata form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 1.91 / Lopata 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lopata)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12461920
Soukup1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Lopata1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 23 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupLopataBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 60 vs 133 / 26045%51.2%27 / 60 vs 133 / 260Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LopataSoukup 1.91/Lopata 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lopata · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lopata won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Soukup10
WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113LAug 18 · 16:38T. Kanka1.67512511113M. Soukup2.10111011282LAug 18 · 15:30O. Chadima1.911213113M. Soukup1.80101190LAug 18 · 15:00M. Soukup1.8376110L. Kolman1.831111133
V. Lopata10
WSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851WSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741LSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171LAug 30 · 16:47V. Lopata1.611111821V. Herrmann2.2081311113WAug 30 · 15:45V. Lopata1.571111143T. Bertho2.2554120LAug 30 · 14:15S. Kalensky1.8381111123V. Lopata1.831199101LAug 30 · 13:45V. Herrmann2.5011813113V. Lopata1.507111171WAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141WAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103
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