TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105765
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Drabek
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
2111311119114––
Tomas Stejskal
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Stejskal to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Drabek above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Tomas Stejskal at 68.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Martin Drabek 0–1 Tomas Stejskal Martin Drabek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Stejskal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1310 vs Stejskal 1495
Stejskal
Wrong
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 40% vs Stejskal 60%
Stejskal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 30% vs Stejskal 60%
Stejskal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek -1 · Stejskal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Stejskal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 3.00 / Stejskal 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Stejskal)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105765
Drabek3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Stejskal1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 25 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it68% 21 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDrabek0wins
AwayStejskal1wins
Stejskal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDrabekStejskalD − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 123 vs 104 / 22231.7%46.9%39 / 123 vs 104 / 222Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StejskalDrabek 3.00/Stejskal 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Stejskal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 8 · 18:15M. Drabek—9840T. Stejskal—1111113
M. Drabek10
LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113LJun 16 · 20:38P. Maly1.571111129113M. Drabek2.2578141152LJun 16 · 19:30K. Jirousek1.831114113M. Drabek1.8371240
T. Stejskal10
LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113LAug 24 · 09:45J. Hanacek1.9111111112123T. Stejskal1.80137514102WAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113
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