TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399103
Played Aug 11Finished
Martin Drabek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711119––
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Drabek above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mejzlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1300 vs Mejzlik 1483
Mejzlik
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 20% vs Mejzlik 80%
Mejzlik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 20% vs Mejzlik 80%
Mejzlik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek -2 · Mejzlik +3
Mejzlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 2.00 / Mejzlik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mejzlik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12399103
Drabek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 16 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Mejzlik1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 127 vs 146 / 29933.1%48.8%42 / 127 vs 146 / 299Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikDrabek 2.00/Mejzlik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drabek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Drabek10
LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113LJun 16 · 20:38P. Maly1.571111129113M. Drabek2.2578141152LJun 16 · 19:30K. Jirousek1.831114113M. Drabek1.8371240LJun 16 · 19:00M. Drabek2.75101211111L. Hendrych1.40121013133
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113WAug 19 · 07:30L. Tuma2.2511711101J. Mejzlik1.5713119123
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