TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12052906
Played Jun 16Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171181214911115
Martin Drabek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Martin Drabek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 99 set 5, 11-5
99 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 3–4 Martin Drabek Petr Maly has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.57 / Drabek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Maly)+0.5pp
Setka Cup · #12052906
Maly1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 58 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Drabek2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 17 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMaly3wins
AwayDrabek4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderDrabek leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly100%3 of 3
AwayDrabek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly3Drabek4n = 7Drabek took 4 of 7
S2Maly4Drabek3n = 7Maly took 4 of 7
S3Maly4Drabek3n = 7Maly took 4 of 7
S4Maly1Drabek2n = 3Drabek took 2 of 3
S5Maly1Drabek2n = 3Drabek took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMalyDrabekM − DBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.338.1+1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 532 vs 86 / 23854.1%36.1%288 / 532 vs 86 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.57/Drabek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LApr 20 · 18:00P. Maly—1011114152M. Drabek—128811173
WMar 6 · 21:48P. Maly—1111113M. Drabek—7740
LMar 6 · 19:15P. Maly—8111111132M. Drabek—116313153
WJan 13 · 21:30P. Maly—146711113M. Drabek—121111992
LJan 13 · 19:00P. Maly—11890M. Drabek—1311113
WOct 22 · 18:45P. Maly—1111113M. Drabek—5940
LSep 12 · 17:45P. Maly—65160M. Drabek—1111183
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113
M. Drabek10
LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113LJun 16 · 19:30K. Jirousek1.831114113M. Drabek1.8371240LJun 16 · 19:00M. Drabek2.75101211111L. Hendrych1.40121013133
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