TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399300
Played Aug 11Finished
Martin Drabek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012117119117––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Drabek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Drabek 1–0 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1328 vs Hanacek 1454
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 40% vs Hanacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 20% vs Hanacek 50%
Hanacek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek -1 · Hanacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 1.83 / Hanacek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanacek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12399300
Drabek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hanacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDrabek1wins
AwayHanacek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDrabek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDrabekHanacekD − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.044.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 130 vs 199 / 38133.9%52.2%44 / 130 vs 199 / 381Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekDrabek 1.83/Hanacek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek—111169123J. Hanacek—841111102
M. Drabek10
LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113LJun 16 · 20:38P. Maly1.571111129113M. Drabek2.2578141152LJun 16 · 19:30K. Jirousek1.831114113M. Drabek1.8371240LJun 16 · 19:00M. Drabek2.75101211111L. Hendrych1.40121013133
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930LJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102
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