TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399101
Played Aug 11Finished
Martin Drabek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911911811––
Libor Krasl
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeLibor Krasl to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Drabek above · Libor Krasl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Libor Krasl at 57.7%
79 points played in total.
H2H Martin Drabek 0–1 Libor Krasl Martin Drabek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krasl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1328 vs Krasl 1481
Krasl
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 40% vs Krasl 20%
Drabek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 20% vs Krasl 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek +1 · Krasl -4
Krasl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krasl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 2.20 / Krasl 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Krasl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12399101
Drabek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 16 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Krasl1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDrabek0wins
AwayKrasl1wins
Krasl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDrabekKraslD − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.042.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekKraslBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 130 vs 98 / 17433.9%56.3%44 / 130 vs 98 / 174Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraslDrabek 2.20/Krasl 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Krasl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krasl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek—119981L. Krasl—91111113
M. Drabek10
LAug 11 · 20:43J. Hanacek1.911111113M. Drabek1.807930WAug 11 · 19:30M. Drabek1.83101111113J. Hanacek1.83127971WAug 11 · 17:30M. Drabek2.0011117113J. Mejzlik1.73871191LJun 19 · 20:38V. Herrmann1.5711118133M. Drabek2.256711111LJun 19 · 19:30J. Marhol1.4041111113M. Drabek2.75117571WJun 19 · 19:00M. Drabek1.91111169123J. Hanacek1.80841111102LJun 19 · 18:00M. Drabek2.10141112472V. Herrmann1.671271411113LJun 16 · 20:38P. Maly1.571111129113M. Drabek2.2578141152LJun 16 · 19:30K. Jirousek1.831114113M. Drabek1.8371240LJun 16 · 19:00M. Drabek2.75101211111L. Hendrych1.40121013133
L. Krasl10
WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113LAug 10 · 20:00L. Krasl2.00711111152J. Juppa1.73111367113LAug 10 · 18:30Z. Kuksa2.00111110113L. Krasl1.73861251
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