TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399235
Played Aug 11Finished
Libor Krasl
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161412711811411
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Krasl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Libor Krasl at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Libor Krasl 0–1 Jakub Mejzlik Libor Krasl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krasl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1481 vs Mejzlik 1455
Krasl
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 20% vs Mejzlik 60%
Mejzlik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 40% vs Mejzlik 60%
Mejzlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl +1 · Mejzlik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krasl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 1.80 / Mejzlik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krasl)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12399235
Krasl1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Mejzlik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 37 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrasl0wins
AwayMejzlik1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMejzlik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKraslMejzlikK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.048.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 174 vs 144 / 29956.3%48.2%98 / 174 vs 144 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraslKrasl 1.80/Mejzlik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krasl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LNov 8 · 10:45L. Krasl—881311102J. Mejzlik—1111113123
L. Krasl10
WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113LAug 10 · 20:00L. Krasl2.00711111152J. Juppa1.73111367113LAug 10 · 18:30Z. Kuksa2.00111110113L. Krasl1.73861251
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761WAug 25 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.738111111123J. Puk2.00116138102LAug 19 · 08:37J. Mejzlik3.759790L. Tuma1.251111113LAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113
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