TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399100
Played Aug 11Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115511118––
Libor Krasl
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeLibor Krasl to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Libor Krasl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Libor Krasl at 58.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 0–1 Libor Krasl Josef Hanacek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krasl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1447 vs Krasl 1487
Krasl
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 20% vs Krasl 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 40% vs Krasl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek -3 · Krasl -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krasl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.25 / Krasl 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Krasl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12399100
Hanacek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 39 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Krasl1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 47 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHanacek0wins
AwayKrasl1wins
Krasl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHanacekKraslH − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.045.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekKraslBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 378 vs 97 / 17252.1%56.4%197 / 378 vs 97 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraslHanacek 2.25/Krasl 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Krasl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LNov 1 · 14:45J. Hanacek—8121181L. Krasl—11149113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
L. Krasl10
WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113LAug 10 · 20:00L. Krasl2.00711111152J. Juppa1.73111367113LAug 10 · 18:30Z. Kuksa2.00111110113L. Krasl1.73861251
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