TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457344
Played Aug 19Finished
Libor Krasl
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121411213119111210
Jan Marhol
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Marhol to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Jan Marhol below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jan Marhol at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Libor Krasl 0–2 Jan Marhol Libor Krasl has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Marhol
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1480 vs Marhol 1508
Marhol
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 40% vs Marhol 60%
Marhol
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 40% vs Marhol 60%
Marhol
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl +1 · Marhol +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marhol)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 1.91 / Marhol 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Marhol)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12457344
Krasl1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 13 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Marhol1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrasl0wins
AwayMarhol2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMarhol leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKraslMarholK − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.042.5−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslMarholBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 176 vs 114 / 22156.3%51.6%99 / 176 vs 114 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarholKrasl 1.91/Marhol 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Marhol · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krasl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 19 · 09:45L. Krasl—11711872J. Marhol—611311113
LApr 5 · 12:00L. Krasl—712981J. Marhol—111011113
L. Krasl10
WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113LAug 10 · 20:00L. Krasl2.00711111152J. Juppa1.73111367113LAug 10 · 18:30Z. Kuksa2.00111110113L. Krasl1.73861251
J. Marhol10
WSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122LSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113LAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 15:00F. Schmidtmayer2.20116551J. Marhol1.6161111113LAug 25 · 12:58F. Kubos2.101111113J. Marhol1.676870WAug 25 · 11:30J. Marhol1.671311812113O. Plyska2.10117111432LAug 25 · 10:30J. Marhol1.5791111462J. Hanacek2.25118511113
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